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Sunday, January 31, 2010

My Take on the 2010 KY Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the KY races will go:

US Senate: Incumbent GOP Senator Jim Bunning is retiring. On the GOP side, Secretary of State Trey Grayson, Business Executive Bill Johnson, World War II Veteran Gurley Martin, Physician Rand Paul, Jon Scribner, and former State Superintendent of Public Instruction John Stephenson are in the running. On the Democratic side, Physician James Buckmaster, Attorney General Jack Conway, Lieutenant Governor Dan Mongiardo, former US Customs Agent Darlene Price, and Farmer Maurice Sweeney are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Convenience Store Operator John Long. I expect Paul and Conway to emerge from their Primaries. I expect Paul to defeat Conway 52-48. GOP HOLD.

KY-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Ed Whitfield is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Whitfield. The Democrats have unified Auctioneer Charles Hatchett. I expect Whitfield to bury Hatchett 72-28. GOP HOLD.

KY-02: Incumbent GOP Congressman S. Brett Guthrie is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Guthrie. The Democrats have unified behind Home Builder Ed Marksberry. I expect Guthrie to crush Marksberry 70-30. GOP HOLD.

KY-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Yarmuth is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Yarmuth. On the GOP side, Electric Power Plant Worker W. Jerry Durbin, Commercial Real Estate Broker Larry Hausman, Commercial Pilot Todd Lally, Restaurant Franchise Owner Jeff Reetz, and Financial Consultant Brooks Wicker are in the running. I expect Reetz to emerge from the Primary. I expect Yarmuth to prevail 54-46. DEM HOLD.

KY-04: Incumbent GOP Congressman Geoff Davis is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Davis. The Democrats have unified behind Disabled Iraq/Afghan War Veteran & Non-Profit Group Executive John Waltz. I expect Davis to prevail 69-31. GOP HOLD.

KY-05: Incumbent GOP Congressman Hal Rogers is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Rogers. On the Democratic side, Helicopter Pilot Jim Holbert, Teacher David Prince, and Attorney Ken Stepp are in the running. I have no idea who will be the Dem nominee, but does it matter? Rogers will crush them like their Third Parties. GOP HOLD.

KY-06: Incumbent Democratic Congressman AB Chandler is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Chandler. On the GOP side, Businessman Perry Barnes, Attorney Andy Barr, John Kemper III, Funeral Director Matt Lockett, George Pendergrass, and retired Businessman Mike Templeman are in the running. I expect Barr to get the nomination, but lose to Chandler 56-44. DEM HOLD.

Saturday, January 30, 2010

My Take on the 2010 CT Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the CT races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Jodi Rell is retiring. On the GOP side, former Congressman Larry DeNardis, Lieutenant Governor Michael Fedele, and former US Ambassador to Ireland Tom Foley are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State House Speaker Jim Amann, former State Representative Juan Figueroa, Simsbury First Selectman Mary Glassman, Businessman Ned Lamont, State Senator Gary LeBeau, Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy, and Rigefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi are in the running. I expect Fedele and Lamont to emerge from their Primaries. I expect Fedele to pick Foley as his running mate and Lamont to pick Amann as his running mate. I expect Lamont/Amann to prevail over Fedele/Foley 52-48. DEM GAIN.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz is running for Attorney General. On the Democratic side, New Haven Alderman Gerry Garcia, Jonathan Harris, State House Majority Leader Denise Merrill, and State Representatives Kevin Roldan and James Spallone are in the running. On the GOP side, former Cheshire Town Registrar of Voters Richard Abbate and Attorney Corey Brinson are in the running. I expect Merrill to emerge from her Primary. I expect Abbate to defeat Brinson 64-36. Merrill will defeat Abbate 60-40. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Richard Blumenthal is running for the US Senate. On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz and former State Senate Majority Leader George Jepsen are in the running. There are no announced candidates on the GOP side, but potential candidates are State Representatives Bill Hamzy, Themis Klarides, and Arthur O'Neill, Attorney John Pavia, and State Senator Andrew Roraback. I expect Bysiewicz to pummel Jepsen 67-33 and defeat whoever the GOP nominates. DEM HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer Denise Nappier is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Nappier. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Comptroller: Incumbent Democratic State Comptroller Nancy Wyman is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Wyman. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent US Senator Chris Dodd is retiring. On the Democratic side, Software Executive Merrick Alpert, Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, and former Greenwich First Selectman Roger Pearson are in the running. On the GOP side, former Worl Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon, former Congressman Rob Simmons, and Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Shiff are in the running. I expect Blumenthal to crush his Primary opposition easily, 80-14-6 over Alpert and Pearson. I also expect Simmons to bodyslam McMahon 49-38. Blumenthal will crush Simmons 69-31. DEM HOLD.

US Congress: Democrats will retain Districts 1 and 3.

CT-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Joe Courtney is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Courtney. On the GOP side, Hebron Board of Finance Member Matthew Daly and Homeland Security Consultant Daria Novak are in the running. The Green Party has unified behind Montville School Board Chair G. Scott Deshefy. The Libertarians have unified behind Writer Dan Reale. I expect Daly to emerge from his Primary 71-29 and lose to Courtney 56-41. DEM HOLD.

CT-04: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Himes is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Himes. On the GOP side, State Senator Dan Debicella, Non-Profit Group Executive Director Will Gregory, Businessmen Rob Merkle and Rick Torres, and former State Senator Rob Russo are in the running., I expect Debicella to prevail 50-42-5-2-1 over Gregory, Russo, Merkle, and Torres, and upend Himes 51-49. GOP GAIN.

CT-05: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Murphy. On the GOP side, former Non-Profit Group Executive Director Justin Bernier, State Senator Sam Calguri, Health Care Executive Dan Carter, Businessmen Bill Evans and Mark Greenberg, and Attorney Kie Westby. I expect Calguri to prevail over Bernier 55-39 and upend Murphy 53-47. GOP GAIN.

Thursday, January 28, 2010

Tom Dooley on the Border

Here's what he'd like to try to get done with the issue of the Border if elected to Congress:

Sept, 28 2009
Secure the Borders Act”

Title 1—Secure the Borders Activities

Purpose: To secure the borders of the United States

Section 1:Provide no federal funds for any sanctuary city. Enforce all current immigration laws.

Section 2: Fence the southern border, Clear 1000 yards of all vegetation and buildings. Construct an additional triple strand constantina wire fence 1000 yards from the border fence. This provides a buffer zone.

Section 3: Construct Border Patrol Buildings with holding cells every 100 mile across the border and staff with 18 border patrol agents. Provide 2 patrol vehicles per building for constant patrolling. Provide electronic monitoring of border to include night vision, motion, and close circuit monitoring.

Section 4: Put in at random strategic locations across the border, hidden fields of autonomous dye pack release mechanisms (dye packs such as banks use). This will provide an easy identification of persons that enter the country illegally, or conducting illegal activities within the buffer zone.

Section 5: hold all persons collected until end of shift,Documented American Citizens apprehended within the buffer zone will be transferred to local police for booking at the end of every shift. Illegal persons will be returned to the nearest border crossing for transfer back to their home country at the end of every shift.

Section 6: All in-bound vessels shall go through an off shore sail-thru inspection station. (currently less than 1% of in-bound vessels are inspected) This was proposed in 2006 by the Center for Intelligence Studies which has never been acted upon.


Your thoughts.

My Take on the 2010 ME Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the ME races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor John Baldacci is term-limited. On the Democratic side, former Biddeford Mayor Donna Dion, State Senate President Libby Mitchell, former Attorney General Steve Rowe, former State Conservation Commissioner Pat McGowan, State Economic/Community Development Commissioner John Richardson, Affordable Housing Company CEO Rosa Scarcelli, and former State Representative Peter Truman are in the running. On the GOP side, Attorney Steve Abbott, former Husson University President Bill Beardsley, Businessman Matt Jacobson, Waterville Mayor Paul LePage, State Senator Peter Mills, Energy Executive Les Otten, Real Estate Developer Bruce Poliquin, and Electrician Marty Vachon are in the running. The Green Party has unified behind former Green Party Chairwoman Lynne Williams. On the Independent side, Investment Adviser Sam Bailey, Christopher Cambron, Curriculum Specialist Beverly Cooper-Pete, Attorney Eliot Cutler, Welder Augustus Edgerton, Businessman Alex Hammer, and Sidney Town Selectman John Whitcomb are in the running. I expect Rowe and Mills to emerge from their respective Primaries. In this climate, I expect Mills to prevail over Rowe 45-39. GOP GAIN.

ME-01: Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Chellie Pingree is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Pingree. The GOP has unified behind Businessman Dean Scontras. Given the current political climate and the fact that Pingree defeated her GOP opponent 54-45 in 2008, this race could become competative, but for now, DEM HOLD.

ME-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Michael Michaud is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Michaud. The GOP has unified behind Businessman Jason Levesque. Michaud will bodyslam Levesque 59-41. DEM HOLD.

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Nelson Open to Reconciliation

Via Right Pundits:

Just when you thought this story was dead and the Dems were going to roll over for us some knucklehead says something to keep the story rolling. It seems that Sen. Nelson of Nebraska is completely open to the idea of using reconciliation to pass Health-care reform.

Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.) said he is, in fact, open to using a parliamentary maneuver to pass healthcare reform with a simple majority in the Senate.

Nelson told Nebraska reporters that he could support passing current health legislation using budget reconciliation as long as he believes the underlying bill is good.

“I’ve been asked about whether I’d support using the process known as reconciliation now,” Nelson said. “So, I want to make it clear: If I support a bill, then I will vote for it regardless of whether it takes 50 votes to pass or 60 votes to pass. My position doesn’t change just because the House or Senate decides to change the process.”

Up until today there were about 8 Democrats who were unsure about reconciliation, but I suppose we can now cross Nelson off that list and jot him down for utter humiliating loss in 2012. If you think the Cornhusker Kickback was bad, just wait until the folks see this reconciliation process in action, the GOP is going to have a field day. In fact, if I could think of an almost sure fire way to give the GOP a filibuster-proof majority by 2012 this would be on the top of the list. I’m guessing Nelson won’t be eating in any pizza joints in Omaha soon.

At this point the GOP is doing their best impersonation of Briar Rabbit, “please Democrats, don’t use reconciliation.”

It does seem that the Dems are desperately trying to figure out a way to pass something including bizarre parliamentary shenanigans which are probably not even legal or at least unprecedented.

“Neither the House nor the Senate have figured out how to pass a reconciliation sidecar first,” one senior Senate aide says. “We are being asked to pass a piece of legislation that amends another piece of legislation which does not exist yet. We are having problems with the CBO and parliamentarian on that front.”

Yeah, what could go wrong with that plan.


This guy is indeed the most heartless, hateful, and gutless bastard in all of Congress! Your thoughts.

Ron Paul on the State of the Union Address



Your thoughts are welcome.

Death Knell for Cap & Trade?

Via Grist.org:

I’ve resisted writing the obligatory “what Scott Brown’s victory means for the climate bill” post, mainly because the real answer is Nobody Knows and Everyone’s Full of Sh*t. What pundit wants to say that?

Certainly everyone in the DC Village agrees that the Mass. special election was the Biggest Thing Evar (unlike, say, the Oregon special election wherein voters chose to raise taxes on rich people and businesses—only conservative news is big news). Congressional Democrats’ first reactions to Brown’s win were predictably and pathetically hysterical, with one after another racing to the microphone to assure voters that they’d gotten the message and wouldn’t be so presumptuous as to ever again try to pass any of the items on the agenda that got them elected.

The dust has settled a little, but this is still an extraordinarily volatile political climate. Conventional wisdom has been that with polarization so high and tempers so raw, the climate/energy bill is doomed. I’ve been holding out slivers of hope, though. The Obama administration and Harry Reid have both recently reiterated that they want a comprehensive bill this session.

Now, however, it looks like Sen. Lindsey Graham—the token Republican working on the Kerry/Graham/Lieberman “tripartisan” bill—has officially bailed on an economy-wide cap-and-trade system:

“Realistically, the cap-and-trade bills in the House and the Senate are going nowhere,” said Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, who is trying to fashion a bipartisan package of climate and energy measures. “They’re not business-friendly enough, and they don’t lead to meaningful energy independence.”

Mr. Graham said the public was demanding that any energy legislation from Washington focus on creating jobs, whether by drilling for offshore oil or building wind turbines.

“What is dead is some massive cap-and-trade system that regulates carbon in a fashion that drives up energy costs,” he said.

To me, regardless of what Obama or Reid may want, this signals the death knell for a comprehensive cap-and-trade program, this year and probably for the duration of Obama’s term in office. If Graham won’t go for it, no Republican will, certainly not the 6-8 Republicans needed. Indeed, opposition to cap-and-trade has become part of the Republican purity pledge. As long as the rabid teabag base has total control over the party, there will be no flexibility on this. And 41 senators is all they need to block it.

Graham’s comments seem to point to an alternative that’s been much-discussed recently: a scaled-back cap-and-trade program that would cover only the electricity sector. That would be coupled with some version of the (pitifully weak) American Clean Energy Leadership Act passed by Bingaman’s Energy Committee last year, with additional subsidies for offshore drilling and nuclear power.

Would the resulting bill be worth a damn? Put it this way: it would be possible to craft a good package of climate and energy legislation with a cap-and-trade system covering utilities, ambitious renewable energy mandates, stringent energy efficiency regulations, and a massive round of investments in clean energy.

That’s not what will pass. My prediction is that whatever K/G/L come up with will look more or less like energy policy over the last 20 years: a hodgepodge of subsidies and tax breaks for favored industries. At this point there seems little hope left of anything better.

There’s much to discuss about the bill, the political fight that will take shape around it, and the best way forward for clean energy advocates in coming years. For now I just wanted to mark what looks to me like the final passing of the dream of an economy-wide price on carbon.


Very interesting. Your thoughts are welcome.

An Early Copy of the GOP Response from Gov. Bob McDonnell

Via The Atlantic:

Want to read the Republican response, delivered by Gov. Bob McDonnell (R-VA) in full? Right now? Two hours early? I've got the full text, after the jump.


Good evening. I'm Bob McDonnell. Eleven days ago I was honored to be sworn in as the 71st governor of Virginia.

I'm standing in the historic House Chamber of Virginia's Capitol, a building designed by Virginia's second governor, Thomas Jefferson.

It's not easy to follow the President of the United States. And my twin 18-year old boys have added to the pressure, by giving me exactly ten minutes to finish before they leave to go watch SportsCenter.

I'm joined by fellow Virginians to share a Republican perspective on how to best address the challenges facing our nation today.

We were encouraged to hear President Obama speak this evening about the need to create jobs.

All Americans should have the opportunity to find and keep meaningful work, and the dignity that comes with it.

Many of us here, and many of you watching, have family or friends who have lost their jobs.

1 in 10 American workers is unemployed. That is unacceptable.

Here in Virginia we have faced our highest unemployment rate in more than 25 years, and bringing new jobs and more opportunities to our citizens is the top priority of my administration.

Good government policy should spur economic growth, and strengthen the private sector's ability to create new jobs.

We must enact policies that promote entrepreneurship and innovation, so America can better compete with the world.

What government should not do is pile on more taxation, regulation, and litigation that kill jobs and hurt the middle class.

It was Thomas Jefferson who called for "A wise and frugal Government which shall leave men free to regulate their own pursuits of industry ....and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned..." He was right.

Today, the federal government is simply trying to do too much.

Last year, we were told that massive new federal spending would create more jobs 'immediately' and hold unemployment below 8%.

In the past year, over three million Americans have lost their jobs, yet the Democratic Congress continues deficit spending, adding to the bureaucracy, and increasing the national debt on our children and grandchildren.

The amount of this debt is on pace to double in five years, and triple in ten. The federal debt is already over $100,000 per household.

This is simply unsustainable. The President's partial freeze on discretionary spending is a laudable step, but a small one.

The circumstances of our time demand that we reconsider and restore the proper, limited role of government at every level.

Without reform, the excessive growth of government threatens our very liberty and prosperity.

In recent months, the American people have made clear that they want government leaders to listen and act on the issues most important to them.

We want results, not rhetoric. We want cooperation, not partisanship.

There is much common ground.

All Americans agree, we need a health care system that is affordable, accessible, and high quality.

But most Americans do not want to turn over the best medical care system in the world to the federal government.

Republicans in Congress have offered legislation to reform healthcare, without shifting Medicaid costs to the states, without cutting Medicare, and without raising your taxes.

We will do that by implementing common sense reforms, like letting families and businesses buy health insurance policies across state lines, and ending frivolous lawsuits against doctors and hospitals that drive up the cost of your healthcare.

And our solutions aren't thousand-page bills that no one has fully read, after being crafted behind closed doors with special interests.

In fact, many of our proposals are available online at solutions.gop.gov, and we welcome your ideas on Facebook and Twitter.

All Americans agree, this nation must become more energy independent and secure.

We are blessed here in America with vast natural resources, and we must use them all.

Advances in technology can unleash more natural gas, nuclear, wind, coal, and alternative energy to lower your utility bills.

Here in Virginia, we have the opportunity to be the first state on the East Coast to explore for and produce oil and natural gas offshore.

But this Administration's policies are delaying offshore production, hindering nuclear energy expansion, and seeking to impose job-killing cap and trade energy taxes.

Now is the time to adopt innovative energy policies that create jobs and lower energy prices.

All Americans agree, that a young person needs a world-class education to compete in the global economy. As a kid my dad told me, "Son, to get a good job, you need a good education." That's even more true today.

The President and I agree on expanding the number of high-quality charter schools, and rewarding teachers for excellent performance. More school choices for parents and students mean more accountability and greater achievement.

A child's educational opportunity should be determined by her intellect and work ethic, not by her zip code.

All Americans agree, we must maintain a strong national defense. The courage and success of our Armed Forces is allowing us to draw down troop levels in Iraq as that government is increasingly able to step up. My oldest daughter, Jeanine, was an Army platoon leader in Iraq, so I'm personally grateful for the service and the sacrifice of all of our men and women in uniform, and a grateful nation thanks them.

We applaud President Obama's decision to deploy 30,000 more troops to Afghanistan. We agree that victory there is a national security imperative. But we have serious concerns over recent steps the Administration has taken regarding suspected terrorists.

Americans were shocked on Christmas Day to learn of the attempted bombing of a flight to Detroit. This foreign terror suspect was given the same legal rights as a U.S. citizen, and immediately stopped providing critical intelligence.

As Senator-elect Scott Brown says, we should be spending taxpayer dollars to defeat terrorists, not to protect them.

Here at home government must help foster a society in which all our people can use their God-given talents in liberty to pursue the American Dream. Republicans know that government cannot guarantee individual outcomes, but we strongly believe that it must guarantee equality of opportunity for all.

That opportunity exists best in a democracy which promotes free enterprise, economic growth, strong families, and individual achievement.

Many Americans are concerned about this Administration's efforts to exert greater control over car companies, banks, energy and health care.

Over-regulating employers won't create more employment; overtaxing investors won't foster more investment.

Top-down one-size fits all decision making should not replace the personal choices of free people in a free market, nor undermine the proper role of state and local governments in our system of federalism. As our Founders clearly stated, and we Governors understand, government closest to the people governs best.

And no government program can replace the actions of caring Americans freely choosing to help one another. The Scriptures say "To whom much is given, much will be required." As the most generous and prosperous nation on Earth, it is heartwarming to see Americans giving much time and money to the people of Haiti. Thank you for your ongoing compassion.

Some people are afraid that America is no longer the great land of promise that she has always been. They should not be.

America will always blaze the trail of opportunity and prosperity.

America must always be a land where liberty and property are valued and respected, and innocent human life is protected.

Government should have this clear goal: Where opportunity is absent, we must create it. Where opportunity is limited, we must expand it. Where opportunity is unequal, we must make it open to everyone.

Our Founders pledged their lives, their fortunes and their sacred honor to create this nation.

Now, we should pledge as Democrats, Republicans and Independents--Americans all---to work together to leave this nation a better place than we found it.

God Bless you, and God Bless our great nation.


Great speech! Your thoughts.

Terror Suspects Possibly Linked to Underwear Bomber

Via National Terror Alert Blog:

KUALA LUMPUR – Police last week acted quickly to forestall a serious threat to national security when they nabbed 10 terror suspects with links to international terrorist organizations. The nine foreigners and a Malaysian were also believed to be linked to a Nigerian student who attempted to blow up a US-bound flight on Christmas Day. Among the foreigners nabbed here were several Nigerians but the authorities are tight-lipped over the details.

Home Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein said the nine foreigners had only just arrived here when they were nabbed. “They would not have had time to do much and establish themselves here,” Hishammuddin said. “They posed a serious security threat to the country and have been detained under the ISA (Internal Security Act).”

He, however, refused to reveal the nationalities of the foreign suspects and organisation they were affiliated to. He said police were tipped off by international anti-terrorism agencies and swung into action.


Your thoughts ate welcome.

IRS Commissioner Fails to Pay Taxes

Via The Hill:

IRS Commissioner Douglas Shulman does not file his own taxes in part because he believes the tax code is complex.

During an interview on C-SPAN's "Newsmakers" program that aired on Sunday, Shulman said he uses a tax preparer for his own returns.

"I've used one for years. I find it convenient. I find the tax code complex so I use a preparer," Shulman said.

Pressed on how he would make the tax code simpler, Shulman responded, "I don't write the tax laws. Congress writes the tax laws so that's a whole different discussion."

The IRS this month announced it will be scrutinizing the tax preparer industry. Shulman said the IRS is looking to set "a minimal level of competence in the preparer community."

Later in the C-SPAN interview, Shulman downplayed his use of a tax preparer, saying he has used one for 10 years. He noted that he and President Barack Obama are proponents of simplifying the tax code.

Shulman said about 60 percent of Americans use tax preparers and another 20 percent use software to file their returns.

He added, "So you're over 80 percent of people who aren't just sitting down and filling out the forms themselves."


Kinda stupid for the people making and enforcing Tax Laws to not pay their taxes. Like Geightner, Shulman is a tax-cheating sleazebag. Your thoughts.

Ron Paul on Cavuto



Your thoughts are welcome.

Nuclear Reductions Talks with Russia Restart on Monday

Via Political Punch:

ABC News' Kirit Radia reports: Nuclear arms reduction talks between the United States and Russia are set to resume in Geneva Monday after a one month hiatus, the State Department said today.

Negotiations to replace the expired START treaty paused for the winter holiday season after months of haggling and weeks after the previous agreement expired on December 5. An interim agreement was reached to keep key provisions going, but differences between both sides persist.

State Department spokesman PJ Crowley told reporters that progress had been made through informal sessions during the month-long break, including a visit to Moscow by National Security Advisor Jim Jones, but he would not speculate when a new agreement would be reached.

“I think we’ve had a productive interlude since the teams broke late last year. There’s still work to be done. Hard to make any predictions in terms of what a timeline is. But I think we’re reasonably optimistic that the finish line is within sight,” Crowley said.

On Sunday, Russian President Dimitry Medvedev said that 95% of issues had been coordinated.

US officials also say much of the new deal has already been agreed upon, but key contentious issues remain. Specifically, US officials have said Russian negotiators refuse to allow US monitors at their nuclear sites as was permitted under the old treaty.

A recent announcement by Poland that a battery of US Patriot missiles and some 100 US troops would be based within 100 km from the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, however, is unlikely to help build confidence between the sides.

According to US officials, both sides have already agreed to reduce their nuclear warhead stockpiles to within the goal of 1500-1675 established last July.

ABC’s Alexander Marquardt contributed to this report.


Your thoughts are welcome.

Hannity Exposes the Obama State of the Union



Your thoughts are welcome.

ACORN Busters Arrested In Attempted Phone Tampering Of Landrieu's Office

Via Ken Rudin:

Watergate redux?

Details are sketchy, but here's what we know:

James O'Keefe, the conservative activist/filmmaker who posed as a pimp in a video that resulted in serious embarrassment for ACORN, the community organizing group, was among four people arrested yesterday in New Orleans in an attempt to illegally tamper with the phones in the office of Sen. Mary Landrieu (D).

Also arrested was Robert Flanagan, the son of William Flanagan, the acting U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Louisiana. Robert Flanagan and Joseph Basel (also arrested) showed up at Landrieu's office pretending to be telephone repairmen while O'Keefe was already in the office, recording the events with his cell phone.

According to the office of U.S. Attorney Jim Letten, which announced the arrests, Flanagan and Basel "requested access to the telephone closet because they needed to perform work on the main telephone system." The three men were later arrested by the FBI. A fourth person, Stan Dai, was also arrested, for being part of the planning of the operation.

Here are the details of the alleged scheme, as per David Hammer of the New Orleans Times-Picayune.

Here is the government's affidavit detailing the charges against O'Keefe and the others, courtesy the Talking Points Memo blog.

Right now, this is the only response from Landrieu's office, attributable to communications director Aaron Saunders:

Because the details of yesterday's incident are part of an ongoing investigation by federal authorities, our office cannot comment at this time.

O'Keefe became a national conservative celebrity last year when, dressed as a pimp and accompanied by a young woman dressed as a prostitute, he entered an ACORN office and taped employees there offering advice on how he and his partner could get away with running an international prostitution scheme.

An AP account of last year's incident, repeated here in the Huffington Post blog, notes that O'Keefe "managed to do what Republicans have been trying to do for years -- hurt the political affiliates of ACORN, which have registered hundreds of thousands of voters in urban and other poor areas of the country. By producing undercover videos shot in ACORN offices, O'Keefe brought a firestorm of criticism that the group was helping its low-income clients break the law."

The incident was part of the reason Congress gave back in September in blocking previously-approved federal funds from going to the group.

As for yesterday's arrests, the attorney for Robert Flanagan -- asked for what could have been his client's motivation -- said, "I think it was poor judgment. I don't think there was any intent or motive to commit a crime."

Of course. It was just a third-rate phone tampering.


We must be clear, wire tapping is illegal, pure and simple. That being said, the fact that they did this shows me that Senator Landireu was up to something very suspicious, suspicious enough that those people went in there to try to install a mechanism that would help them find out if their suspicions are indeed true. This whole thing is just an attempt to find out whether there's anything suspicious going on in the Senator's office. Your thoughts are welcome.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Delaware Polls

Via Pollster.com:

2010 Senate
56% Castle(R), 27% Coons(D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Coons: 47 / 30
Mike Castle: 66 / 25

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50 / 49
Gov. Markell: 57 / 36


Certainly good news for the GOP in a very Democratic state like Delaware. 27% for a Democrat in this state is flat out horrible. Factor in Obama's favorables and you have the Perfect Storm for the GOP. And I thought Coons was well know enough as a County Executive(there's 3 counties in DE) to do better, but in this climate, I guess not. Your thoughts.

My Take on the 2010 WV Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the WV races will go:

WV-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Alan Mollohan is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Mollohan and Steel Worker RJ Smith are in the running. On the GOP side, Realtor Cindy Hall, GOP Activist Patricia Van Gilder Levenson, former State GOP Chair David McKinley, Coal Mine Contracting Company Executive R. Scott Smith, Custom Furniture Maker Tom Stark, Financial Executive Daniel Swisher, and Attorney Mac Warner are in the running. I expect McKinley to prevail in the Primary with 55% and Mollohan in his Primary 89-11. In this climate, I think McKinley will defeat Mollohan 52-48. GOP GAIN.

WV-02: Incumbent GOP Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Capito. On the Democratic side, Elementary School Principal Virginia Lynch Graf and David Harless are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Teacher Phil Hudok. I expect Graf to prevail in the Primary 87-13 and lost to Capito 63-37. GOP HOLD.

WV-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Nick Rahall is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Rahall and State Delegate Ralph Rodighiero are in the running. On the GOP side, Nurse Anesthetist Lee Bias, Sign Company Sales Executive Marty Gearhart, and Attorney Conrad Lucas are in the running. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. I expect Lucas to prevail over Gearhart and Bias 54-41-5. Whoever the Democrats nominate will defeat Lucas, 57-43 Rahall or 59-41 Rodighiero. DEM HOLD.

Saturday, January 23, 2010

My Take on the 2010 UT Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the UT races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Gary Herbert is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Herbert. The Democrats have unified behind Salt Lake City Mayor Peter Corroon. Herbert will defeat Corroon 61-39. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lieutenant Governor Greg Bell is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Ball. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

US Senator: Incumbent GOP US Senator Bob Bennett is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Bennett, Business Consultant Tim Bridgewater, Businesswoman and Conservative Activist Cherilyn Eager, Attorney Mike Lee, and Businessman James Williams are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind State Alcohol Beverage Control Commissioner Sam Granato. I expect Eager to teabag Bennett to death at the convention. Eager will defeat Granato 62-38. GOP HOLD.

UT-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Rob Bishop is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Bishop. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

UT-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Matheson is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Matheson. On the GOP side, PHD Candidate Casey Anderson and former State Representative and State GOP Vice Chair Morgan Philpot are in the running. On the Independent side, Businessman Dave Glissmeyer and Medical Technologist Ryan Kelly are in the running. I expect Philpot to emerge from the Primary. Philpot will defeat Matheson 52-48. GOP GAIN.

UT-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman Jason Chaffetz is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Chaffetz. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

Friday, January 22, 2010

CSP After Dark Open Thread

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So chat it up!!!

Campaign for Liberty seeking Local, County, and Regional Coordinators

From the Campaign for Liberty Blog:

Are you passionate about the great American principles of individual liberty, constitutional government, sound money, free markets, and a non-interventionist foreign policy?

Are you currently searching for an active role within the Campaign for Liberty which will train and equip you for battle and allow you to effectively channel your efforts, vastly increasing your ability to win back lost freedoms and then preserve them for future generations?

If these things apply to you, please consider signing up as a local coordinator. Our Local Coordinator Training will assist you in learning about the political figures and structure in your area, arm you with important details needed to direct your time and energy effectively, and provide you with specific information that you will be able to share with your fellow activists.

Once you have signed up as a local coordinator, please consider leading your county or region. You can nominate yourself, or a fellow local coordinator from your dashboard; simply scroll to the bottom of the page and look for "Coordinators" on the right-hand side of the page. You will notice the categories of "County", "Regional" and "State". If there is no coordinator in any of those categories, you will see the word "nominate". Simply click "nominate" and you will be taken to a page where you can voice your recommendations on who should fill that position.

We've come a long way since the Campaign for Liberty was formed. As we move forward, there will be battles won, and battles lost; we will face stiff opposition, and form important alliances. Building up our team of local, county and regional coordinators will greatly increase our ability to reclaim our lost liberties and boldly confront our adversaries and win!


If I had the time to do this, I would. You should really consider joining the Campaign for Liberty, that is, if you have the time.

John Edwards has a new Daughter!

Via The Great American Blog:

Former presidential candidate John Edwards has admitted fathering his former campaign videographer's child.

In a statement released to NBC News, Edwards said, "I am Quinn’s father... It was wrong for me ever to deny she was my daughter and hopefully one day, when she understands, she will forgive me."

Friends of the family said that Edwards and wife, Elizabeth, have separated, NBC reported.

Edwards admitted in August 2008 to an affair with Hunter that he says ended in 2006. That year, Edwards' political action committee paid Hunter's video production firm $100,000 for work. Then the committee paid another $14,086 on April 1, 2007.

A federal grand jury last year investigated whether Edwards broke campaign finance law by paying "hush" money to Hunter and Young over the affair.


Disgraceful. Your thoughts.

Scott Brown's Victory Speech

Here's some YouTube videos of Brown's acceptance speech I thought I might share with y'all:





Air America Files for Bankrupcy

Via Media Decoder:

Air America, the progressive talk radio network, said Thursday that it would cease broadcasting immediately, bowing to what it called a “very difficult economic environment.”

“It is with the greatest regret, on behalf of our board, that we must announce that Air America Media is ceasing its live programming operations as of this afternoon, and that the company will file soon under Chapter 7 of the Bankruptcy Code to carry out an orderly winding down of the business,” the chairman of Air America Media, Charlie Kireker, said in a memorandum.

His statement was published on AirAmerica.com.

The news did not come as a complete surprise to staff members. The company, which was founded in 2004, never found a substantial audience or sound financial footing. It filed for bankruptcy protection in 2006, but managed to stay on the air at that time. The network churned through several owners and several attempted reinventions, with little to show for it.

“The fact of the matter was, it was always a very challenging business proposition, and it never had the right management,” said Sam Seder, who hosted programs on Air America until last year.

The headwinds were enormous, he said, adding, “Radio is a dying industry.”

Nonetheless, the network was a launchpad for a small number of liberal media stars, most notably Rachel Maddow, who now anchors a prime-time program on MSNBC.

Several former Air America hosts, including Randi Rhodes and Thom Hartman, remain on the radio but apart from the network. “It would be a shame if the world sees the failure of Air America as representing the failure of progressive talk radio,” said Michael Harrison, the editor of Talkers magazine.

Senator Al Franken, Democrat of Minnesota, hosted an Air America show from 2004 to 2007 before running for office.

In his statement, Mr. Kireker wrote:

At a critical time in our nation’s history — when dissent on issues such as the Iraq war were often denounced as “un-American” — Air America and its talented team helped millions of Americans remember the importance of compelling discussion about the most pivotal events and decisions of our generation.

Through some 100 radio outlets nationwide, Air America helped build a new sense of purpose and determination among American progressives. With this revival, the progressive movement made major gains in the 2006 mid-term elections and, more recently, in the election of President Barack Obama and a strongly Democratic Congress.

Laws have changed for the better thanks to this revival … but all the same our company cannot escape the laws of economics. So we intend a rapid, orderly closure over the next few days.

The shutdown of the network has essentially already taken place. Starting at 6 p.m. Eastern on Thursday, listeners will hear encore programming until Monday, “at which time Air America programming will end,” Mr. Kireker said in the statement.


This is good news IMO. What do you think?

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Call you Senators and Tell Them to Hold Bernanke until Audit the Fed has Passed

Via Daily Paul:

Dear C4L Member,

Our country’s economic future is in Ben Bernanke’s hands on a daily basis.

Now his job security is in ours.

I need you to immediately call your senators with a simple message: “No vote on Bernanke until we get a vote on Audit the Fed.”

http://www.congress.org/communicate

Here’s what’s going on and why you need to act immediately. It’s a little complex, so bear with me.

Senator Jim DeMint (R-SC) has led the charge to place a “hold” on Bernanke’s nomination to a second term as Fed chairman until the Senate votes on Audit the Fed. This means to get a vote on Bernanke, Harry Reid has to have a vote on “cloture” (just like in the health care battle), and that requires a super-majority of 60 votes.

Insiders now tell me that Harry Reid is threatening to ram through a cloture vote as early as next week.

Senator DeMint is joined by David Vitter, Jim Bunning, and Bernie Sanders in his efforts, but these senators cannot succeed alone. But right now, Republicans should stop caving in to Harry Reid’s muscle on behalf of Ben Bernanke and the out of control Federal Reserve, and Democrats are cowering in fear of the popular revolt against out of control spending and the economic wreck it has helped create.

A strong message from Campaign for Liberty activists like you could start a stampede in the Senate that will make Harry Reid back off of Bernanke and give us a vote on Audit the Fed.

After all, Harry Reid is already the most vulnerable Democrat up for reelection next year, according to the polls.

Call your senators at the following numbers:

Senator Thad Cochran: 202-224-5054
Senator Roger Wicker: 202-224-6253

Make sure you let them know that:

1.) If they are not cosponsoring Audit the Fed, you expect them to sign on in support of finding out what the Fed has done with trillions of our dollars. Tell them you will make sure their constituents know of their action or inaction on this issue.

2.) They must vote “no” on cloture until after there is a vote on Audit the Fed. No vote should be taken on Ben Bernanke’s confirmation, or the nomination of anyone else for Fed Chairman, until Audit the Fed has received a public, up or down vote. The real issue here is not the Fed chairman himself. It is the need for complete transparency.

Ben Bernanke’s term as Fed chairman expires on January 31, so Harry Reid is under pressure from Barack Obama to act quickly.

Which means we must act even faster.

The Senate has enough on its plate with the fight over health care, so they can ill afford to face yet another tough fight over the leadership’s agenda.

Time to turn up the pressure.

Take action today to push for a vote on Audit the Fed, S. 604!

In Liberty,

John Tate
President

A look back at MA-SEN: Why Kennedy Siphoned votes from Coakley

A few weeks ago, a RedStaate Poster named profg made a well reasoned post on the MA-SEN race and how Kennedy siphoned votes from Coakley. Sadly, the Military Dictatorship at RedState banned him within a day of the post, even though their lapdogs who unfairly attacked him broke the "be respectful or be banned. NO PROFANITY rule and were spared(BTW, if you are against what happened to the commentor, the mods e-mail addresses are neil@habuki.us and erick@redstate.com or contact@redstate.com). Here's the post:

I’ve been keeping a pretty close watch on the special election race in Massachusetts, to fill the late Ted Kennedy’s seat in the U.S. Senate. And there’s three big things I’ve noticed: (1) People are forgetting that there will be THREE names that will be on that Jan. 19th ballot; (2) That third name is JOE KENNEDY (Independent); and (3) People think that he’ll pull votes from Scott Brown.

But the fact is, Joe Kennedy will pull a LOT more votes from Martha Coakley than from Scott Brown.

(1) Joseph L. Kennedy - no relation to THAT Kennedy clan - was able to gather the 10,000 petition signatures required to get on the ballot for this special election. He mostly spent his own money to hire petitioners to supplement volunteer efforts. Others tried and failed; Kennedy made it. He’s already been in one radio debate [now two] and one televised debate, and is scheduled to be in the next ones as well. A libertarian and a member of the Campaign for Liberty, he’s got dedicated supporters campaigning for him who are applying hard-learned lessons from their days pushing Ron Paul for President across Massachusetts.

(2) This guy’s name is Joe Kennedy, for crying out loud. Massachusetts Democrats are not well-known for their, ah, high intelligence quotient; I’m willing to bet that a LOT of them will be checking that box for the name they’ve blindly checked off since the 1960s - especially the older demographic who are known for voting in every election. Remember, this is a special election, which historically have low turnouts; so if a large demographic is going in and voting for Joe Kennedy because they think he’s “their” Joe Kennedy, that can be a game-changer.

(3) With all of that in mind, the idea that Kennedy is going to siphon votes from Scott Brown is, I believe, mistaken. Think about it: why is Martha Coakley refusing to debate Scott Brown unless Joe Kennedy is included? It’s not from some altruistic sense of electoral fairness, you can be sure of that. And it’s not because she thinks that Kennedy’s going to convince a whole lot of Republicans to switch over and vote for him; that 16% of the electorate is probably not going anywhere else. It’s simple: she wants to make it as clear as possible to Democrats that he’s NOT “that” Joe Kennedy, because she recognizes how likely it is his name is going to pull a LOT of Democrat votes.

But not many people watch those debates, and there’s not much time for Coakley to run a bunch of ads telling Democrats not to vote for Joe Kennedy. Besides, she’s busy trying to convince the voters who are supposed to be her constituency to get out there and vote for her.

Joe Kennedy is on the ballot on January 19th. A majority isn’t needed in order to win; the one with the most votes gets it. And because Kennedy is on the ballot, it’s going to split Coakley’s vote enough for one of two things to happen: either Scott Brown wins, or Joe Kennedy does.

And either one would be a real slap in the face to the Democrats - and the 41st vote against socialized health care. And that’s fine with me.

Congressional Candidate Tom Dooley on the Folded American Flag

This from Tom Dooley:

Have you ever noticed on TV or at military funerals that the honor guard pays meticulous attention to correctly folding the American flag 13 times?

The flag is folded 13 times when it is lowered or when it is folded and handed to the widow at the burial of a veteran.

HERE IT IS: The first fold of our flag is a symbol of life.

The second fold is a symbol of our belief in eternal life.

The third fold is made in honor and remembrance of the veterans departing our ranks who gave a portion of their lives for the defense of our country to attain peace throughout the world.

The fourth fold represents our weaker nature, for as American citizens trusting in God, it is to Him we turn in times of peace as well as in time of war for His divine guidance.

The fifth fold is a tribute to our country, for in the words of Stephen Decatur, "Our Country, in dealing with other countries, may she always be right; but it is still our country, right or wrong."

The sixth fold is for where our hearts lie. It is with our heart that we pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States Of America, and to the Republic for which it stands, one Nation under God, indivisible, with Liberty and Justice for all.

The seventh fold is a tribute to our Armed Forces, for it is through the Armed Forces that we protect our country and our flag against all her enemies, whether they be found within or without the boundaries of our republic.

The eighth fold is a tribute to the one who entered into the valley of the shadow of death, that we might see the light of day, and to honor mother, for whom it flies on Mother's Day.

The ninth fold is a tribute to womanhood; for it has been through their faith, their love, loyalty and devotion that the character of the men and women who have made this country great has been molded.

The tenth fold is a tribute to the father, for he, too, has given his sons and daughters for the defense of our country since they were first born.

The eleventh fold, in the eyes of a Hebrew citizen represents the lower portion of the seal of King David and King Solomon, and glorifies in their eyes, the God of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob.

The twelfth fold, in the eyes of a Christian citizen, represents an emblem of eternity and glorifies, in their eyes, God the Father, the Son, and Holy Spirit.

When the flag is completely folded, the stars are uppermost reminding us of our nation's motto, "In God We Trust". After the flag is completely folded and tucked in, it takes on the appearance of a cocked hat, ever reminding us of the soldiers who served under General George Washington, and the sailors and marines who served under Captain John Paul Jones, who were followed by their comrades and shipmates in the Armed Forces of the United States, preserving for us the rights, privileges, and freedoms we enjoy today. There are some traditions and ways of doing things which have deep meaning.

My Take on the 2010 NH Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the NH races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lynch. On the GOP side, Businessman Jack Kimball and Religious Right Activist and Author Karen Testerman are in the running. I expect Kimball to prevail 63-37 and lose by a lesser than expected margin(59-41) to Lynch. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Judd Gregg is retiring. On the GOP side, former State Representative Tom Alciere, former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Businessmen Jim Bender and Bill Binnie, and former State Board of Education Chair Ovide LaMontage are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind US Representative Paul Hodes. The Libertarians have unified behind Realtor Ken Blevens. I expect LaMontage to teabag Ayotte to death in the Primary and defeat Hodes 51-47. GOP HOLD.

NH-01: Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Shea-Porter. On the GOP side, Defense Contractor Rich Ashooh, Businessman and Economist Peter Bearce, International Banking Executive Bob Bestani, Cook Mike Castaldo, Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta, and Kevin Rondeau are in the running. I expect Guinta to handily defeat the rest of the field and prevail over Shea-Porter 53-47. GOP GAIN.

NH-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes is running for US Senate. On the Democratic side, State Representative John DeJoie, Attorney Ann McLane Kuster, and Political Consultant Katrina Swett are in the running. On the GOP side, former Congressman Charlie Bass, former State Representative Bob Giuda, Bristol Town Budget Committee Chairman Andrew Hemingway, Radio Talk Show Host Jennifer Horn, and Milford School Board Member Len Mannino are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Howie Wilson. I expect DeJoie and Bass to emerge from their Primaries. I predict Bass over DeJoie 50-48. GOP GAIN.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

My Take on the 2010 VT Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the VT races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Jim Douglas is retiring. The GOP has unified behind Lieutenant Governor Brian Dubie. On the Democratic side, State Senators Susan Bartlett, Mat Dunne, Doug Racine, and Peter Schumlin and Secretary of State Deb Markowitz are in the running. The Second VT Republic Party has unified behind Dennis Steele. The Independents have unified behind Cris Ericson. I expect Markewitz to handily defeat all the opposition. In this climate, I expect Dubie to narrowly prevail 52-48. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lieutenant Governor Brian Dubie is running for Governor. On the GOP side, State Senator Phil Scott and Businessman Mark Snelling are in the running. On the Democratic side, there are no announced candidates, but potential candidates include State Representatives Tom Costello, Steve Howard, and David Zuckerman, State Senator Virginia Lyons, and former Non Profit Group Executive Director Tim Palmer. Scott will win 58-42, and lose to whoever the Democrats nominate. DEM PICKUP.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer Jeb Spaulding is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Spaulding. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Deb Markowitz is running for Governor. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney and Middlesex Zoning Board Chair Charlie Merriman. The GOP has unified behind Attorney and Williston Selectman Chris Roy. Merriman will defeat Roy 61-39. DEM HOLD

State Auditor of Accounts: Incumbent GOP State Auditor of Accounts Tom Salmon Jr. is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Salmon Jr. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Bill Sorrell is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Sorrell. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Pat Leahy is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Leahy and Physician Daniel Freilich are in the running. The GOP has unified behind Lumber Store Owner Len Britton. On the Independent side, Cris Ericson and John LaPierre Jr. are in the running. I expect Leahy to trounce Freilich in the Primary and Britton, Ericson, and LaPierre Jr. in the General. DEM HOLD.

VT-AL: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Peter Welch is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Welch and Teacher Dan Weintraub are in the running. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

MA-SEN Election Night Open Thread

Time for us to do an open thread. We'll bring results as they come in.

8:11 Update: 55-44-1 Brown
8:16 Update: 54-45-1 Brown-Coakley-Kennedy
8:21 Update: 52-47-1 Brown
8:29 Update: 51-48-1 Brown-Coakley-Kennedy
8:33 Update: 53-46-1 Brown
8:46 Update: 52-47-1 Brown-Coakley-Kennedy
8:51 Update: 52-46-1 Brown
9:03 Update: 53-46-1 Brown-Coakley-Kennedy
9:17 Update: 53-46-1 Brown
9:25 Update: CSP Projects Scott Brown the next Senator from the State of Massachusetts. Brown wins 53-46.

On my Martial Law post and RS Admins

It has come to my attention that my posting the Martial Law post to RedState was a violation of Fair Use. They are right, I should have at least posted a link to the page to give the people at InfoWars some credit for the post and not posted the entire article to the page. I am issuing my sincere apologies to the people at RedState and InfoWars. And I will correct my post as soon as possible.

MA-SEN Decision Day!

Today is the day when the voters of Massachusetts determine the fate of our country. They must choose between Democrat Martha Coakley, Republican Scott Brown, and Libertarian Joe Kennedy. Turnout is reportedly heavy. All that’s left is to ensure that today’s is a clean fight and a fair fight.


Elect Joe Kennedy to the US Senate



Legal Insurrection
will be live-blogging the race all day.

Monday, January 18, 2010

Martial Law in America

If true, this will confirm what I've been thinking for a year. Via
InfoWars
:

An Obama executive order that creates a council of state governors who will work with the feds to expand military involvement in domestic security, together with PDD 51, a Bush era executive order that gives the President dictatorial power in times of national emergency, eliminate the last roadblocks to declaring martial law in the United States.

The new order, which is entitled Establishment of the Council of Governors (PDF), creates a body of ten state governors directly appointed by Obama who will work with the federal government to help advance the “synchronization and integration of State and Federal military activities in the United States”.
{snip}


This is by far the scariest story I've ever seen and as I stated above, I've seen coming for a year. Many people have and still do dismiss me as crazy, but I now firmly believe that Obama will declare Martial Law, abolish elections, and arrest people in the name of national security, saving the economy, etc. However, I don't think he will go the way of Hitler or Stalin, though. The people are what keep the Government alive, so don't expect Obama to go the way of the names above. Your thoughts.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

My Take on the 2010 ND Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the ND races will go:

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State Alvin Jaeger is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Jaeger. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent GOP Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Stenehjem. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

State Agriculture Commissioner: Incumbent Democratic State Agriculture Commissioner Roger Johnson is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Johnson. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Tax Commissioner: Incumbent State Tax Commissioner Cory Fong is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Fong. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Byron Dorgan is retiring. On the GOP side, Governor John Hoeven and Retired Navy Officer and Businessman Duane Sand are in the running. The Democrats side has no announced candidates to date, but potential candidates include Manufacturing Executive Kristin Hedger and former State Attorney General and former State Tax Commissioner Heidi Heitkamp. I expect Hoeven to pound Sand 87-13 and defeat whoever the Democrats nominate. GOP PICKUP.

ND-AL: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Earl Pomeroy is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Pomeroy. On the GOP side, State PSC Commissioner Kevin Cramer and former University of Mary Football Coach Paul Schaffner are in the running. I expect Cramer to beat Schaffner 71-29 and defeat Pomeroy 53-47. GOP PICKUP.

Saturday, January 9, 2010

My Take on the 2010 SC Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the SC races will go:

Governor: Scandal mired incumbent GOP Governor Mark Sanford is term-limited, setting up a free-for-all on both sides. On the GOP side, Congressman Gresham Barrett, Lieutenant Governor Andre Bauer, State Senator Larry Grooms, State Representative Nikki Haley, and Attorney General Henry McMaster are in the running. On the Democratic side, Attorneys Dwight Drake and Mullins McLeod, Minister Amos Elliot, State Senators Robert Ford and Vincent Sheheen, and State Superintendent of Education Jim Rex are in the running. Independents have unified behind Construction Company CEO Morgan Bruce Reeves. I expect McMaster to win the GOP Primary, and Rex to win the Democratic Primary. McMaster will win 55-45. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lieutenant Governor Andre Bauer is running for Governor. On the GOP side, Florence County Councilman Ken Ard, Attorney Bill Connor, and State Representative Tim Scott are in the running. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. I expect Scott to win the Primary and win the General with no opposition. GOP HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State Mark Hammond is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Hammond. The Democrats have unified behind retired Civil Servant Marjorie Johnson. Hammond will crush Johnson 63-37. GOP HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent GOP State Treasurer Converse Chellis is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Chellis. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent GOP Attorney General Henry McMaster is running for Governor. On the GOP side, former Chief Deputy Attorney General Robert Bolchoz, Attorney Leighton Lord, and former Assistant Attorney General Alan Wilson are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind First Circuit Solicitor David Pascoe. The frontrunners on the GOP side are Bolchoz and Wilson. Either will defeat Pascoe big time. GOP HOLD.

Comptroller General: Incumbent GOP Comptroller General Richard Eckstrom is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Eckstrom. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

State Superintendent of Education: Incumbent Democratic State Superintendent of Education Jim Rex is running for Governor. On the GOP side, Construction Contractor Elizabeth Moffly, College Professor Brent Nelsen, Teacher Kelly Payne, and Newberry College President Mick Zais are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind former US Deputy Education Secretary Frank Holleman. The Libertarians have unified behind Teacher Tim Moultrie. I expect Zais to win the GOP Primary. Holleman will win 53-46 over Zais. DEM HOLD.

Adjutant General: Incumbent GOP Adjutant General Stan Spears is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Spears, Author Dean Allen and Businessman Brian Frank are in the running. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. Spears will win handily over Allen and Frank and will win with no opposition. GOP HOLD.

State Agriculture Commissioner: Incumbent GOP State Agriculture Commissioner Hugh Weathers is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Weathers. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Jim DeMint is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind DeMint. On the Democratic side, Attorney Chad McGowan and retired Auto Company Executive Mike Ruckes are in the running. Ruckes will defeat McGowan 57-43 and lose to DeMint 67-33. GOP HOLD.

US Congress: The Democrats easily retain SC-06.

SC-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Henry Brown is retiring. On the GOP side, Isle of Palms City Councilman Ryan Buckhannon, former State Ports Authority Board Member Carroll Campbell III, former Mount Pleasant Town Councilman Mark Fava, and former Congressional Aide Katherine Jenerette are in the running. On the Democratic side, former Housing Authority Commissioner Robert Burton, former County Supervisor Robert Dobbs, and retired Businessman Dick Withington are in the running. I expect Campbell III and Burton to emerge from their respective Primaries. Campbell III will win 55-45 over Burton. GOP HOLD.

SC-02: Incumbent GOP Congressman AG Wilson is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Wilson. The Democrats have unified behind Iraq War Veteran Rob Miller. Wilson defeats Miller 56-44. GOP HOLD.

SC-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman J. Gresham Barrett is running for Governor. On the GOP side, Evangelical Pastor Richard Cash, Attorneys Neal Collins and James Galyean, State Representatives Jeff Duncan and Rex Rice, and Physician Mike Vasovski are in the running. On the Democratic side, Paramedic Brian Doyle and FedEx Pilot Jane Dyer are in the running. The GOP frontrunners are Duncan and Rice. Dyer will defeat Doyle, and the GOP nominee will crush Dyer. GOP HOLD.

SC-04: Incumbent GOP Congressman Bob Inglis is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Spartanburg County Solicitor Trey Gowdy, College Professor Christina Jeffrey, IT Consultant Jim Lee, Businessman Rick Mahler, and State Senator Dave Thomas are in the running. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. The Libertarians have unified behind Steven Edwards. On the Independent side, Computer Database Administrator Tim Carnes and Stock Market Investor Ted Christian are in the running. I expect Thomas to emerge and win the GE. GOP HOLD.

SC-05: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Spratt is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind State Senator Mick Mulvaney. The Democrats have unified behind Spratt. I expect Mulvaney to win the Primary. In this political climate, I see Mulvaney defeating Spratt 53-47. GOP PICKUP.

Thursday, January 7, 2010

My Take on the 2010 AL Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the AL Races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Bob Riley is term-limited, thus setting up a free-for-all on both sides. On the GOP side, State Representative Robert Bentley, former State Community College System Chancellor Bradley Byrne, State Treasurer Kay Ivey, Real Estate Developer Tim James, former State Economic Development Director Bill Johnson, former State Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore, and Financial Analyst James Potts are in the running. On the Democratic side, Congressman Artur Davis, State Commissioner of Agriculture & Industries Ron Sparks, and Inventor Sam Franklin Thomas are in the running. I expect Kay Ivey to win the GOP Primary easily. The Democratic race is still up in the air. If the Democrats nominate Davis, Ivey has a slight edge. If Sparks is the nominee, it will be close til' the end. GOP HOLD if Davis is the nominee, TOSSUP if Sparks is the nominee.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Jim Folsom Jr. is running for re-election. On the GOP side, State Senator Hank Erwin and Teacher Gene Ponder are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Folsom Jr. I expect Erwin to win the GOP Primary and get crushed 57-43 by Folsom Jr. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Scandal-mired Incumbent GOP Attorney General Troy King is running for re-election. On the GOP side, King and Attorney Luther Strange are in the running. On the Democratic side, Attorney Michel Nicrosi and former State Democratic Party Chairman Giles Perkins are in the running. I expect King to defeat Strange 54-46 and Perkins to defeat Nicrosi 63-37. In the end, King narrowly wins 51-49. GOP HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State Beth Chapman is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Chapman. There are no announced Democratic Candidates, but two potential candidates are Secretary of State's Office Administrator Ed Packard and former Secretary of State Nancy Worely. Chapman will defeat whoever the Democrats nominate, if anybody. GOP HOLD.

State Auditor: Incumbent GOP State Auditor Samantha Shaw is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Shaw, and there are no announced or potential Democratic candidates. GOP HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent GOP State Treasurer Kay Ivey is running for Governor. On the GOP side, retired Businessman Terry Dunn, Accountant Ron Stokes, former State Treasurer and former State PSC Commissioner George Wallace Jr. are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State Conservation Commissioner Charles Grimsley and Attorney Jeremy Shearer are in the running. Wallace Jr. will handily defeat the GOP opposition and Grimsley will win 73-27 over Shearer. Wallace Jr. will defeat Grimsley 58-42. GOP HOLD.

State Commissioner of Agriculture & Industries: Incumbent Democratic State Commissioner of Agriculture & Industries Ron Sparks is running for Governor. The Democrats have unified behind Deputy State Agriculture Glen Zorn. On the GOP side, Walker County Economic Development Chair Dorman Grace, former State Conservation Commissioner John McMillan, and Businessman Dale Peterson are in the running. I expect McMillan to win 59-32-9 over Grace and Peterson. Zorn will narrowly defeat McMillan 53-47. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Richard Shelby is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Shelby, and the Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

US Congress: The GOP easily retains AL-01, AL-04, and AL-06. Here are the others:

AL-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Bobby Bright is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby and Businessman Rick Barber are in the running. The Democrats have, reluctantly, unified behind Bright. The Independents have unified behind IT Manager Rob John. I expect Roby to be teabagged to death by Barber 52-48. Barber will defeat Bright 54-46. GOP PICKUP.

AL-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman Mike Rogers is running for re-election. The Gop has unified behind Rogers the Democrats have unified behind Attorney Josh Segall, and the Independents have unified behind Real Estate Broker Mark Layfield. Rogers will defeat Segall 55-43, with the rest going to Layfield. GOP HOLD.

AL-05: Incumbent GOP Congressman Parker Griffifth is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Griffifth, Madison County Commissioner Morris Brooks, and Businessman Les Phillip are in the running. There are no announced candidates on the Democratic side, but potential candidates include State Representative Marcel Black, State Senator Tom Butler, Huntsville School Board President Doug Martinson, and former Congressional Aide Steve Raby. I expect Brooks to defeat Griffifth and Phillip 51-45-4. I expect Butler to get in the race for the Democrats. Brooks will defeat Butler 56-44. GOP HOLD.

AL-07: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Artur Davis is running for Governor. On the Democratic side, Attorney Martha Bozeman, State Representative Earl Hilliard Jr., Frank Lankster, former Radio Journalist Patricia Evans Mokolo, Attorney Terri Sewell, Jefferson County Commissioner Sheila Smoot, and Mortgage Broker Eddison Waters are in the running. The GOP is unified behind Tea Party Activist Michele Waller. I expect a Runoff between Hilliard Jr. and Smoot, with Hilliard Jr. winning 53-47. Hilliard Jr. handily defeats Waller. DEM HOLD

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

CO-GOV: Bill Ritter to retire

Via The Fix:

Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter (D) will not seek a second term this fall, according to Democratic sources briefed on his decision.

Ritter, elected in a landslide in 2006, had seen his political fate dip considerably in the intervening years, and faced an extremely difficult re-election race against former Rep. Scott McInnis (R) in November.

"Bill Ritter was literally the weakest incumbent in nearly 50 years and his own party was unenthusiastic at best for his reelection," said Colorado Republican party chairman Dick Wadhams. "Colorado has certainly changed from that heady day at Invesco Field."

Democrats are likely to turn to either former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff or Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper to replace Ritter. Romanoff is currently challenging appointed Sen. Michael Bennet in a Democratic primary and if he could be convinced to switch races would solve two problems for the party.

Colorado is now the eleventh open seat Democrats must defend this year although the other ten seats are being vacated as a result of term limits. Republicans also have eleven open seats of their own to defend. There are 37 governors races on the ballot this fall.


Ritter was a weak choice, so his retirement actually improves Democrats chances of holding this seat because Democrats have a huge bench here to go up against former GOP Congressman Scott McInnis, the presumptive GOP nominee. Still, the GOP is favored.

ND-SEN: Dorgan to retire

Via Political Wire:

Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-ND) "dropped a late-day bombshell, announcing he will retire when his term ends this year," USA Today reports.

"Dorgan's announcement represents an opportunity for Republicans: North Dakota is a Republican-leaning state, where President Obama got just 45% of the vote last year."

Most analysts now expect Gov. John Hoeven (R) to run. If so, he will instantly become the favorite to win this seat.


This news clearly favors the GOP because the GOP has other strong candidates besides Hoeven. The Democrats can run At Large Congressman Earl Pomeroy, State Superintendent of Public Instruction Wayne Sanstead, and State Agriculture Commissioner Roger Johnson and make a race out of this, though.

MI-GOV: Cherry drops out

Via WLNS News:

6 News Capitol Correspondent Tim Skubick reports that Lt. Governor John Cherry, once the presumed front-runner for the Democratic nomination, will drop out of the race for Governor.

Several sources have confirmed the story 6 News first broke Monday night at 11pm.

The Cherry campaign is meeting this morning. No formal announcement has been set, but the move could come sometime today.

ORIGINAL STORY: John Cherry - one of the front-runners in the race to become Michigan's next governor - may call it quits.

Capitol Correspondent Tim Skubick broke the news on 6 News on Monday night.

Cherry, a long-time legislator who spent the last eight years as Jennifer Granholm's lieutenant governor, could make the announcement as soon as Tuesday.

The Cherry campaign was unavailable for comment.

But word is that Cherry has had trouble raising money - and fellow Democrats have privately and publically expressed doubts about his ability to win the race if he secured his party's nomination.

That could leave the door open for House Speaker Andy Dillon, Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, and other candidates - some who have expressed an interest in the race, and some who haven't.


This is big. Cherry was the Democrats strongest possible candidate. This now ensures a GOP pickup.

Monday, January 4, 2010

My Take on the 2010 GA Races

Here's a rundown of how I think the GA Races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Sonny Perdue is term-limited, thus setting up a free-for-all on both sides. On the GOP Side, In the GOP Primary, Insurance Commissioner John W. Oxendine, Secretary of State Karen Handel, former State Senator Eric Johnson, Congressman Nathan Deal, State Senator Jeff Chapman, Ray McBerry, and State Representative Austin Scott are in the running. On the Democratic side, former Governor Roy Barnes, Attorney General Thurbert Baker, Ray City Mayor Carl Camon, House Minority Leader DuBose Porter, and former State Adujant General David Poythress. Third Party candidates in the race are Libertarian John Monds and Write-In candidate Sam Hay III. I expect Oxendine to win by a bigger margin than most people expect. 35-16 in the Primary, and 55-45 in the Runoff. The Democratic Primary is less certain. While I expect Barnes to come out ahead 45-39 over Baker in the July 20 Primaries, I get the sneaking suspicion Baker will win the Runoff, and it won't be that close. 54-46 is my prediction at the moment. Currently, I have Ox as the next Governor over whoever the Democrats nominate. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle is so far running for re-election and he probably won't have much difficulty winning. Democrats have been trying to recruit Labor Commissioner Mike Thurmond, Ray City Mayor and current Gubernatorial candidate Carl Camon, State Senator Tim Golden, State Representative Debbie Buckner, and former State Senators Floyd Griffin Jr and Michael Meyer Von Bremen. Thurmond is the only one who can give Cagle a race, and he's shown little to no interest in running. Cagle will defeat anyone the Dems nominate, especially Von Bremen(if you want proof, look at his disatrous campaign for Court of Appeals in 2008). GOP HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State Karen Handel is running for Governor. On the GOP side, former State Senator Brian Kemp and Sandy Springs City Councilor Doug MacGinnitie are in the running. On the Democratic side, Attorney Gary Horlacher and Public Relations Executive Michael Mills are in the running. In the GOP Primary, I expect Kemp to narrowly win over MacGinnitie 52-48. In the Democratic Primary, it is unclear to me who will get the nod. One thing is clear, the GOP is headed for a big victory here. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Thurbert Baker is running for Governor. On the GOP side, Cobb County Commission Chair Sam Olens and former US Attorney and USAF Veteran Max Wood are in the running. On the Democratic side, State Representative Rob Teilhet and former Dougherty Circuit District Attorney Ken Hodges are in the running. In the GOP Primary, I expect Sam Olens to win by about a 65-35 margin. The Democratic Primary is a Tossup. Whoever wins will be in a tight contest with Olens. TOSSUP.

State School Superintendent: Incumbent GOP School Superintendent Kathy Cox is running for re-election. In the GOP Primary, Incumbent Kathy Cox, School Administrator Richard Woods, and former State Representative Roger Hines are in the running. In the Democratic Primary, University Administrator Beth Farokhi and Teacher Brian Westlake are in the running. In the GOP Primary, I expect Woods and Hines to go to a Runoff and Hines wins 53-47. The Democratic Primary is unclear at the moment. Hines will crush whoever the Democrats nominate. GOP HOLD.

State Agriculture Comissioner: Incumbent Democratic Agriculture Commissioner Tommy Irvin is retiring. In the GOP Primary, GA Agribsuiness Council President Gary Black and former USDA Official Darwin Carter are in the running. Nobody has announced for the Democratic nod as of yet. However, the Democrats have plenty to choose from in State Representatives Alan Powell and Mike Cheokas, Ecosystem Scientist Rand Knight, Assistant Agriculture Commissioner Oscar Garrison, and Deputy Agriculture Commissioner Terry Coleman. Coleman and Garrison are the strongest options, and Coleman seems likely to run. While I support Carter, I have a feeling Black is the strongest option for the GOP. In the GOP Primary, Black wins big, 57-43. With Democratic candidates like these, it will be close to the end. TOSSUP.

State Insurance Commissioner: Incumbent GOP Insurance Commissioner John W. Oxendine is running for Governor. On the GOP side, State Representative Tom Knox, Peachtree City Mayor Harold Logsdon, Insurance Broker Stephen Northington, Health Benefits Consultant Gerry Purcell, Attorney Maria Sheffield, and State Senators Seth Harp and Ralph Hudgens. The Democrats have unified behind former State Senator Mary Squires. The GOP Primary is very uncertain at this point. Whoever the GOP nominates will defeat Squires handily. GOP HOLD.

State Labor Commissioner: Incumbent Democratic Labor Commissioner Mike Thurmond is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind State Representative Melvin Everson and the Democrats are unifying behind Thurmond. At this point, Thurmond should be given a slight edge. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP Senator Johnny Isakson is running for re-election. The GOP is unifying behind Isakson, the Democrats are unifying behind former Rockdale County Commission Chief of Staff RJ Hadley, and the Libertarians are unifying behind Chuck Donovan. At this point, IsaKson easily wins 59-37-4. GOP HOLD.

US Congress: GOP holds Districts 1, 6, 7, 10, and 11. Dems hold Districts 4 and 5.

GA-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Sanford Bishop is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind State Representative Mike Keown and the Democrats have unified behind Bishop. Bishop has a slight edge, but that will probably change as the year progresses. DEM HOLD.

GA-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman Lynn Westmoreland is running for re-election. The only announced challenger is Independent Alan Weaver. If the "Throw the Bums out" mentality holds through to November, Westmoreland could be in serious trouble. But for now, GOP HOLD.

GA-08: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Marshall is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Central Fellowship Christian Academy Dean Ken DeLoach, Businesswoman Angela Hicks, Technical Writer Valerie Myers, and former Bibb County GOP Chairman Paul Rish are in the running. As I see it, DeLoach and Rish are the frontrunners. In this political climate, anything could happen, but Marshall is so far favored. DEM HOLD

GA-09: Incumbent GOP Congressman than Deal is running for Governor, setting off a free-for-all in the GOP Primaries. Announced candidates on the GOP side are Danny Benton, Whitfield County Commissioner Mike Cowan, Businessmen Tom Dooley and Jeremy Jones, former State Transportation Board Member Mike Evans, State Representatives Tom Graves and Bobby Reese, State Senator Lee Hawkins, Retired Neurosurgeon Bert Loftman(my horse in the race), former State Senator Bill Stephens, and Chickamauga City Councilor Steve Tarvin. The Democrats have unified behind Hall County Democratic Party Chairman Mike Freeman and the Independents have unified behind Marketing Executive Eugene Moon. The GOP frontrunners are Evans, Hawkins, and Graves. Anybody the GOP nominates will win, easily. GOP HOLD.

GA-12: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Barrow is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Thunderbolt Fire Chief Carl Smith and Businesswoman Jeanne Seaver are in the running. On the Democratic side, Barrow and former State Senator Regina Thomas are in the running. Smith will handily win his primary, while the Democratic side is in question. If Barrow wins, the GOP has an outside chance. If Thomas wins, this is a lost cause. DEM HOLD.

GA-13: Incumbent Democratic Congressman David Scott is running for re-election. The only announced challenger is Independent Michael Frisbee. If the "Throw the Bums out" mentality holds through to November, Scott could be in serious trouble. But for now, DEM HOLD.

Your thoughts.

A Basic Argument in Favor of Gay Marriage

Here's my take on Gay Marriage, it really doesn't affect you if two men or two women get married. I believe that you should marry the one you love, period. And God made you in his image for a reason. Why would he make you gay just to damn you to hell? The Government should stay out of marriage. These votes to ban gay marriage are borderline treasonous IMO. It tramples on our right to love whoever we want. Just my opinion, and I'd like to hear yours.