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Saturday, January 23, 2010

My Take on the 2010 UT Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the UT races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Gary Herbert is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Herbert. The Democrats have unified behind Salt Lake City Mayor Peter Corroon. Herbert will defeat Corroon 61-39. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lieutenant Governor Greg Bell is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Ball. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

US Senator: Incumbent GOP US Senator Bob Bennett is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Bennett, Business Consultant Tim Bridgewater, Businesswoman and Conservative Activist Cherilyn Eager, Attorney Mike Lee, and Businessman James Williams are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind State Alcohol Beverage Control Commissioner Sam Granato. I expect Eager to teabag Bennett to death at the convention. Eager will defeat Granato 62-38. GOP HOLD.

UT-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Rob Bishop is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Bishop. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

UT-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Matheson is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Matheson. On the GOP side, PHD Candidate Casey Anderson and former State Representative and State GOP Vice Chair Morgan Philpot are in the running. On the Independent side, Businessman Dave Glissmeyer and Medical Technologist Ryan Kelly are in the running. I expect Philpot to emerge from the Primary. Philpot will defeat Matheson 52-48. GOP GAIN.

UT-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman Jason Chaffetz is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Chaffetz. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.

4 comments:

  1. Not sure what has led you to predict Eagar, but most of the state delegates I've talked to are Mike Lee supporters.

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  2. Same here. Everyone I talk to to is a Mike Lee supporter

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  3. My thinking is that Eager is Conservative enough to win over the Convention, which is dominated by the Religious Right Crowd, the Grassroots, and other branches of the Conservative Ideology.

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  4. If you don't know Cherilyn Eagar, she was first known for her popular outspoken speeches at the Tea Parties, 9-12 ralleys and other Conservative efforts.

    Currently, everyone I talk to not only like her style, knowledge and background, but also like the fact that she would be the first female Senator from Utah that would be able to make practical issues out of the "good ole boy" system. She is the only candidate that can represent truly 50% of the Conservative family issues.

    Mike Lee's problem (whom I think will come in 2nd place) is that he represents Energy Solutions . . . NOT US!

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